Friday, August 31, 2012

TO EARN PROFITS, ATTRACT INVESTORS!

Global Investment Guru Jim Rogers, who Co-Founded the Quantum Fund along with George Soros (The Fund Returned 4,200% in ten years, as compared to the S&P 500’s 47% in the same duration), believes that commodities are a strong investment avenue for indian firms, and that the govt. should cooperate to make india inc. more profitable

When the economy gets better after the ongoing recovery mode, commodities will go up. And even if it doesn’t get better, commodities will remain the hot favourite, as governments would press to print more currency and whenever the government has done that in the past, real asset prices tend to go up, be it rice, wheat or natural gas. In the present situation, a credible investment and productive capacity for 25 or 30 years in the commodity field will be excellent whether the economies get better or they don’t. Most of the commodities tend to be fruitful but for the near future that is 2 to 3 years, agriculture will be a golden call.

With the recent mergers and acquisitions (M&As) activity heating up the Indian market, like any other economy, Indians are shelling-out a little extra for the target company. But these M&As are of no sense as they normally destroy value. Forget about making-profits with these deals. If an Indian company can, it should rather invest in the stock market over M&As as there is a lot of liquidity in the Indian market and a huge potential in stocks. So stocks are the right way to go if you want to make profits.

Talking about the comparison between India and China, when returns are considered, the Chinese market will outperform India in the short-term, but with India allowing foreigners to invest in the Indian market, India will be a much better market in comparison to China in the long-term. But considering the manner in which the government behaves and acts on important economic and corporate decisions at present, I am not really sure that the government in India actually means good. But if it does, India is really the place of more interest. Hence, for the time being, China is the preferred destination and Chinese companies would be my desired targets.

Talking about profit-making in the farm & agricultural sector in India, at present, a lot has to change. There has to be definite reforms in different sectors in India to unlock their potential specifically in agriculture, where India can be a leader in the global economy, as India has the soil, weather & location. Unfortunately, the government is ruining agriculture with all kinds of restrictions and despite thousands of Indian farmers committing suicide every year, the government is allowing the restrictions to develop. A farmer in India cannot have more than 5 hectares of land and these Indian farmers can never compete with their counterparts sitting in Australia and America. A farmer in India has the potential to own 10,000 hectares. The Indian government should open up the agricultural sector, so that it becomes much more competitive.


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Thursday, August 30, 2012

THE CAPTAIN OF THE SOUTH KOREAN SHIP

AFTER BEING THE CLEAR #2 IN THE INDIAN PASSENGER VEHICLE SEGMENT FOR OVER 11 YEARS, THE TIDE SEEMS TO BE TURNING IN FAVOUR OF ITS CLOSEST COMPETITORS. CAN H. W. PARK, THE CAPTAIN OF THE SOUTH KOREAN SHIP, STEER IT CLEAR OF THE MANY ICEBERGS ON THE WAY? BY PAWAN CHABRA

The market leader has even announced a plan to stage a comeback in the Indian market, starting with the launch of the Alto K10, coupled with five CNG models (of the SX4, the EECO, the WagonR, the Alto and the Estilo models), and the automatic A-Star. But even Shashank Srivastava, CGM – Marketing, Maruti Suzuki India, confesses, “A lot depends on how many units of the Nano does Tata Motors plan to sell in the Indian market.”

The issue of capacity crunch is also keeping many Hyundai investors on tenterhooks. Currently, its Sriperumbudur (Chennai) plant, with an annual manufacturing capacity of 600,000 units, is operating at full capacity. But as insiders quote, the auto major has an option of stretching it to 670,000, by modifying the assembly lines. The worrying fact is – Hyundai has not revealed plans to do that. Hyundai’s Saxena says, “If there is more demand for our products, we will possibly look into it. But I don’t think there will be a need for capacity expansion this year, perhaps not even in 2011.” But despite this, Park has good news for his investors.

Hyundai will land some hard punches on its competitors with the launch of its small car (reportedly scheduled for 2012), that will be positioned in the A2 minus segment, which would then be in direct competition with the Alto. The product is expected to bring high volumes to the company, which will then help it claw back market share in the domestic arena. Park reveals, “We are in the development stage of the model and it is going very well. However, I can’t comment on the time frame of the launch in the Indian market,” says Park. To this, Saxena adds, “While our small car will not compete with the Nano, when we are looking at such a model, we are looking at high numbers...”

Most likely, even though Tata Motors will again displace Hyundai as the #2 player for some more quarters to come, one cannot deny that Park still leads one of Hyundai’s most profitable overseas subsidiaries, which is also the #1 exporter of passenger cars from India, with exports of 285,658 units in FY2009-10 (64% market share in exports, while Maruti and Tata command a much lower 33.1% & 1.5% respectively). In fact, production figures prove how after Hyundai China (production volume of 570,309 units in 2009), the Indian subsidiary, with an output of 559,880 units in 2009, is the most important for the Chaebol.

Whether or not Park manages to retain the silver sceptre, the domestic market will remain key to Hyundai’s future. With the domestic market size growing by the day, fragmentation is inevitable. He has to focus on profitable volumes (and not ranks), with the key adjective being ‘profitable’ (given that currently, for every Nano that Tata Motors manufactures, it makes a loss due to capex depreciations). Park’s job as a CEO is to keep the volumes high and profits thick. For now, he is doing that. Tata Motors may focus hard on the Nano and critics may write volumes about how the product will ensure a second spot for Tata Motors, but experts opine that such low-priced products with wafer-thin margins, can hardly give companies a sustainable lead. There will be much more botheration for Park over the next couple of years in the form of Bajaj-Renault’s ultra low-cost car, FIAT’s model below the Punto and Volkswagen’s small car. But he needs to remember that increasing capacity is key, focusing on the Indian market with good margin products is important and keeping his investors happy (with profits) is religion. And for the sake of this religion, Park should not fret over giving away the runners-up trophy.


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Wednesday, August 29, 2012

Style Police catches Sonam!

Sonam Kapoor’s co-star in Saawariya, Ranbir Kapoor, consciously toyed with the imagination of women as he danced with just his towel on, but Sonam herself recently came close to some inadvertent skin-show. At a promotional event organised for her upcoming film Aisha, Sonam nearly had a wardrobe malfunction incident, when it was noticed that she was having a rather tough time keeping her pants on. For someone who has been working very hard on being a style diva, such an event would’ve been disastrous!


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Friday, August 24, 2012

Fathers in India are still pitted against rigid ancient laws

A hundred years after Father’s Day was commemorated, fathers in India are still pitted against rigid ancient laws and struggling for equal right over their children...

“It is almost impossible for Indian fathers to get custody of their children,” said Satya Kumar, Founder of 498a.org. “The Hindu Marriage Act is of 1955. The laws are very ancient. When the laws were written, only 1% of the women worked while now about 25% work. Kids in the custody of working mothers are no better taken care of than kids living with fathers. The mindset of people needs to change. There should not be women’s right and men’s right but the government should implement common family rights,” suggests Kumar.

“Father’s day, Mother’s day or any other such day is just another opportunity to show your love for each other. At times, the occasion can present a chance to patch-up things, to clear the muck and start things afresh,” says Dr. Sanjay Chugh, Senior Consultant Psychiatrist. Perhaps that’s why one of the demands being made by AIMWA is that ‘when a person or couple approaches court for divorce, counselling of the parents by professional counsellors should be given first priority.’

This Father’s Day, let’s hope that it doesn’t take another hundred years for fathers to get their due.


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Wednesday, August 22, 2012

The times they are a-changin’ and established norms and beliefs are now being challenged...

On questioning him about a different statement issued in the media, Maulana Abdul shot back saying, “I don’t understand how this fatwa was leaked to the media. We have explained our stand that according to Islam, Muslim women cannot be together with men without purdah. Those who do not follow this are not true Muslims. But this is just a religious order. We can definitely not punish anyone who chooses not to follow the religious rules. We have issued several fatwas in the past. Our job is to give advice based on what Islam says. To follow it or not is up to the individual.”

Centuries-old rules pitted against evolving times are probably at the heart of this imbroglio. The Belgium government’s ban on the burka had created an uproar among Islamic groups. Says Maulana Abdul, “People should be allowed to do what they wish to, if it’s not causing any harm. How can you impose a ban on anything? This rule might be unacceptable to many Muslim women. This is also injustice. It’s unfair.” Well, true. But why should there always be resentment with acts of liberation? For instance, the controversies created around Sania Mirza’s skirt, Salman Khan attending Ganesh Puja, MF Hussain’s paintings, Shiv Sena bashing youngsters who celebrated Valentine’s Day. Then again when a lot of support came streaming in for the Muslim, Lebanese-born Miss USA, Rima Fakih, who paraded in a bikini on the ramp, there’s hope enough to believe all is not lost yet!

Every religion believes in peace and harmony and eventually it’s up to both, us and the custodians of every religion to let it not be misjudged and misunderstood.


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Tuesday, August 21, 2012

Losing power in transit

T&D losses and power theft have to be addressed in a flagrantly strict manner – arrest the power stealers and publicise their conviction

In April first week, Delhi Chief Minister Sheila Dikshit promised that there would be “no power cuts in the capital this summer.” This promise held well for one week in some localities. In other states, the less said about power the better.

As per a recent report, the Planning Commission has revealed that the combined losses of public sector discoms, which were to the tune of Rs.40,000 crores in 2009-10, could swell up to a shocking Rs.68,000 crores in the current financial year. It has been widely seen that the reason for such huge losses is because of faulty T&D (transmission and distribution) systems. The fact is that more than one-third of electricity supplied gets lost in T&D and a similar substantial part is stolen. Presently, the T&D losses can go up to 40-50% in many states; compared with China where the figure is less than 3%. India’s T&D losses are the highest in the world as per a report by WRI.


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Monday, August 20, 2012

Big, fat, hairy & audacious...

Quite a few global IT giants have proved that it takes just one big killer product or application to enter the Fortune 500 league. Finacle was supposed to be that for Infosys! Today, it contributes just about 4% to Infosys’ revenues. What went wrong? by Virat Bahri

The reputation of a thousand years could be built in one hour, as per an old Japanese proverb. Or one product, when you look carefully at the leaders of the technology industry today. Consider this: Microsoft for Windows, Google for search engine, Oracle for its database application, Apple for its iPod (whose success led to their latest killer product – the iPhone) and SAP for its SAP ERP software.

If one analyses the contribution of these iconic products to the revenues of these companies, one can conclude that while a diversified product portfolio is important, one big, formidable and audacious play is all a company needs to move from being good to being great.

Apple to apple comparisons (pun unintended) with Infosys may be a tough call, since the company has charted a different growth path. But when the company’s core banking product Finacle (launched in 2000) begin to gather rave reviews in the Indian, and the global banking space, many speculated that this was the killer application that would take Infosys into the league of greats.

If you measure Finacle by that yardstick, you are liable to be disappointed; since in revenue terms, the product’s contribution to Infosys’ total revenues is just around 4% for FY 2009-10! So it is not Google Search or Microsoft Windows. But a combination of vision and a certain degree of good fortune have been instrumental in Finacle reaching a turnover of $208 million in 2010 from $48.6 million in 2005, a CAGR of 33.74%. Meanwhile Infosys’ revenues are $4.804 billion for the year ending March 2010, and growing at a CAGR of around 23.7% over the past four years. But amidst the growing clutter, can Finacle retain its growth trajectory for the long term. B&E engaged in an exclusive interaction with Infosys Finacle global head Haragopal M., who discussed Finacle’s evolution and future ambitions.

Launched in 2000, Finacle was a right product at the right time for the Indian market at least. That was because Indian banks did not have any integrated platform at that time, and there was a strong need for providing anytime anywhere banking. This was in contrast with the developed world, where legacy systems were in place, which is why the core banking transformation started in Asia Pacific. That has provided Indian banks with an advantage as well, since their efficiencies have gone up quite phenomenally. Hargopal cites the transformation that core banking solutions have brought for Indian banks with some figures, “Average bank spending per capita of customer is around $76 in global banks, whereas a bank in India spends around $11-14. Indian GDP increased by 184% from 2000-2010, bank deposits rose by around 500%, lending increased by about 300-350%, but scale of banking staff has gone up by a mere 5%.”

Finacle has positioned itself on the propositions of scalability, richness of its functional software, flexibility, efficiency and execution capability. The company upgraded itself very quickly from being an ISV to a one stop consulting partner for all the needs of the clients. The major challenge was to integrate the system, piece by piece, even as the client’s regular operations were going on. As Hargopal puts it, “It’s like changing the engine of a Boeing during a transit landing flight!”


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Tuesday, August 14, 2012

Sun’s Wonder Drug!

Despite litigations, Sun Pharmaceuticals has managed to give its investors the largest m-cap growth by steven philip warner
 
This is bad news for those sceptical about investments in pharmaceutical stocks, and a bigger disappointment for those doubting the potential of profits contributing to shareholder value. Sun Pharmaceuticals, after becoming the highest profit-making pharmaceutical company in FY 2008-09 (with net profits of Rs.38.76 billion), became the largest wealth creator in the sector in FY2009-10: its m-cap increasing by 41.4% to touch Rs.373.01 billion (as on March 31, 2010).

Uday Baldota, VP – Investor Relations, Sun Pharma talked to B&E, “Customers, employees and society are at the core of our existence. Having extremely satisfied customers, being served by high performing employees meeting the unmet and evolving needs of the society have been key to delivering superior returns to our shareholders...” Notwithstanding that, there have been some negative reactions to the company stock, considering that just a few days back, it lost the right to market one of its top-selling drug, Pantoprazole in US (which as per a New Jersery district court was infringing Wyeth’s patent rights).

Sun has even battled out many such litigations in US in the past one year. All this should have wreaked havoc on the Indian pharmaco in the US market (which contributed to 35.4% of its annual revenues in FY2008-09)... It didn’t! Rather, Sun’s stock has for many years now, outperformed both the Sensex and the Nifty.


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